While the Fed is projecting growth, four key threats could derail the economy in 2026: policy-driven inflation, "stagflation lite," consumer exhaustion and a potential artificial intelligence bubble.

Recession fears are back, but the outlook is more complicated than a simple yes or no. Here’s what top economists, business ...

However, investor sentiment remains cautious as recession concerns continue to intensify, according to data from prediction markets. Traders on Kalshi indicate that the probability of a U.S. recession ...

Wall Street has been worried that cybersecurity will be replaced by AI, but Project Glasswing shows that fear is overblown.

The likelihood of a recession has increased significantly since February, according to the predictions market platform Kalshi ...

Economists have pulled up their risk assessments of a contraction amid heightened uncertainty over geopolitical risk and a labor market slump.

Recession probability climbs to 39.2% in March 2026. Markets decline, oil prices surge, and key valuation metrics signal economic uncertainty ahead.

Moody's recession model is flashing a warning signal that a recession could be around the corner -- and that was before oil ...

There's good news and not-so-good news for investors right now.

Recession odds on prediction market Kalshi have plummeted 26.6% in just one week, with investors betting the probability of ...

Nobel laureate Paul Samuelson once said the stock market has forecast nine of the last five recessions. He probably meant not to take warning signs from the stock market too seriously on recession ...

Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are beginning to ripple through financial markets, prompting traders to reassess the outlook for the global economy. Activity on prediction market ...