How did Week 11 change the playoff picture? Which teams have the most at stake in Week 12? Ali Bhanpuri breaks down the 2025 NFL playoff race using the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model.

With Brock Purdy back in the lineup, the computer seems to be a big fan of the 49ers (7-4). San Francisco is being given a 80.4% chance of making the postseason, which means the computer is pretty confident that the NFC West is going to be sending three teams into the playoffs.

The Philadelphia Eagles and Denver Broncos stand atop the NFC and AFC, respectively, through 11 weeks of the 2025 NFL season, but are either of those two squads the current favorites to win the Super Bowl this February?

Which eight NFL teams will be crowned division champs this season? Who'll nab the six wild-card slots? At the midpoint of the 2025 campaign, our analysts provide their playoff predictions.

Texans (+5.5) over Bills. Buffalo's defense is reeling at the moment, allowing 30 or more points in back-to-back games. The Bills' run defense has been abysmal, surrendering 5.4 yards per carry (second most in the NFL). That could result in a strong day for the Texans on the ground, which could help tip the scales in favor of an upset.

Returning to Sunday against the Colts, Kansas City’s chances of making the playoffs jump to 63% with a win, according to NFL.com. Pro Football Focus is even more optimistic, listing the Chiefs’ playoff odds at 68% with a win over the Colts.

The Jaguars will travel out west to face the Cardinals in a game that could spell out what happens the rest of the way. Our bold predictions.

The Miami Dolphins have embraced a "delusional" mindset, as described by linebacker Bradley Chubb, despite their challenging season.